Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Jul 09, 2026
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

Daily Summary

NDW Prospecting: Check-a-Month Portfolio

The check-a-month strategy involves buying a group of high-yielding, quarterly-dividend-paying stocks with dividend payment dates spread across the quarter so that the client receives a dividend check(s) each month.

Morning Pulse

NDW Morning Pulse - July 9, 2026

NDW Morning Pulse – July 9, 2026.

  • Crude Oil (CL/) was up 4.37% through yesterday's close. Although still up almost 30% year-to-date, the contract has down well below its all-time highs from earlier this year.
  • Emerging markets also ticked higher over the past day. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF ([EEM]) sits on six consecutive buy signals and is up over 20% YTD.
  • Since the healthcare sector moved to overweight territory two weeks ago in our DALI sector rankings, the sector has continued to tick higher, gaining 9 signals this month alone. Consumer staples have also gained 9 signals this month, as more defensive areas of the market continue to show strength.
  • The percent positive for the healthcare sector ([^PTECHEALTH]) also crossed back up above 30% in its chart level for the second time since late 2021, highlighting an increase in long-term strength for the sector as a larger percentage of stocks are now contributing to the upside.
  • Fed funds futures imply a 64.1% chance of a rate hike at the September 16, 2026 FOMC meeting, suggesting that market participants increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to raise rates.

NDW Morning Pulse

by Anthony Garcia

Below are highlights from the NDW Morning Update Video for the morning of 07/09. Access the the video on the NDW Morning Update Video page. 


  • Crude Oil (CL/) was up 4.37% through yesterday's close. Although still up almost 30% year-to-date, the contract has down well below its all-time highs from earlier this year.
  • Emerging markets also ticked higher over the past day. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) sits on six consecutive buy signals and is up over 20% YTD.
  • Since the healthcare sector moved to overweight territory two weeks ago in our DALI sector rankings, the sector has continued to tick higher, gaining 9 signals this month alone. Consumer staples have also gained 9 signals this month, as more defensive areas of the market continue to show strength.
  • The percent positive for the healthcare sector (^PTECHEALTH) also crossed back up above 30% in its chart level for the second time since late 2021, highlighting an increase in long-term strength for the sector as a larger percentage of stocks are now contributing to the upside.
  • Fed funds futures imply a 64.1% chance of a rate hike at the September 16, 2026 FOMC meeting, suggesting that market participants increasingly expect the Federal Reserve to raise rates.

Breadth in the fixed income market remains narrow as most US core groups now sit near the bottom of the Asset Class Group Scores fixed income rankings. Even non-core groups, like high yield bonds, which had formerly been areas of strength, now sit in the red zone with average scores below 2.5. With that in mind, we thought this would be an opportune time to update our check-a-month strategy. The check-a-month strategy involves buying a group of high-yielding, quarterly-dividend-paying stocks with dividend payment dates spread across the quarter so that the client receives a dividend check(s) each month.

When building a check-a-month portfolio, it is essential to select not only high-yielding stocks but also stocks with a healthy technical picture to better stack the odds of future outperformance in your favor. After all, your client won't be impressed with their 3% yield if the market value of their portfolio drops by 15%. Looking only at dividend yield, we found that there are 104 stocks in the S&P 500 with a dividend yield of 3% or higher. However, when we narrow our search using a technical overlay, we are left with 26 stocks. A list of all the criteria we input in the Security Screener tool is below:

S&P 500 Universe

Price = >$10

Trend = Positive

Technical Attributes = 3+ 

Dividend Yield > 3%

You will find all 26 names in the table below categorized into three groups based on their usual dividend payment schedule. We've highlighted a couple of our favorites below the table. 

Early Quarter Dividend Payout (January, April, July, October)

Mid-Quarter Dividend Payout (February, May, August, November)

Late Quarter Dividend Payout (March, June, September, December)

MO Altria Group Inc. ($72.06) - Food Beverages/Soap – MO is a 4 for 5’er that ranks in the top quintile of the food beverages/soap sector matrix. At 6.1%, MO is one of the highest yielding stocks on our list. On its default chart, MO has given three consecutive buy signals and sits one box away from completing a fourth with a spread triple top break at $75. Year-to-date (through 7/8) MO has gained 26.27% on a price return basis.

SPG Simon Property Group, Inc. ($221.01) - Real Estate – SPG is a 5 for 5’er that ranks in the top quintile of the real estate sector matrix. SPG’s 4.1% yield is roughly in-line with the 4.2% average yield for our list. But, SPG has shown durable relative strength as it has been on peer and market RS buy signals since 2021. After giving three consecutive sell signals between March and April, SPG returned to a buy signal when it completed a bearish signal reversal at $194. The stock has continued straight up a single column of Xs since then and currently sits at an all-time high at $228. While it shows no nearby support on its default chart, SPG has found support at $210 and $200 on its $2-per-box chart. Year-to-date, SPG has gained 18.36% on a price return basis.

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

-8.55

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
         
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Buy signalEEM
 
Buy signaliwm
       
     
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Sell signalief
Buy signalONEQ
 
Buy signalVOOV
       
     
Buy signalgcc
Sell signalagg
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Buy signalijr
       
   
Sell signalgld
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Buy signalQQQ
Buy signalIJH
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Sell signaluso
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Buy signalXLG
Buy signalefa
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Buy signaldx/y
     
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

 

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
GRMN Garmin Ltd. Leisure $243.53 mid 230s - mid 260s 364 196 5 TA rating, LT pos trend and mkt RS buy, top 33% of LEIS sector matrix, buy-on-pullback, Earn. 7/29
IBOC International Bancshares Corporation Banks $74.61 low-to-mid 70s 93 63 4 for 5'er, favored BANK sector, LT pos peer & mkt RS, bearish signal reversal, R-R~2.0, 1.95% yield, Earn. 8/6
LYV Live Nation Entertainment Inc. Leisure $182.14 low 160s to mid 170s 202 142 4 for 5'er; Pos. Trend; Top Half of Leisure Matrix; Within one box of ATH, Earn. 8/6
MO Altria Group Inc. Food Beverages/Soap $72.81 low-to-mid 70s 91 62 4 for 5'er, top quartile of FOOD sector matrix, one box from RS buy, bullish triangle, 5.9% yield, Earn. 7/30
CTRE CareTrust REIT Inc Real Estate $41.34 $38 - $43 62.50 34 5/5'er since Apr. '25, top quintile of Real Estate Matrix, pos. trend and buy signal since Jul. '23.
BTI British American Tobacco Sp-Adr (United Kingdom) ADR Food Beverages/Soap $61.39 hi 50s - low 60s 92 51 4 for 5'er, top 25% of FOOD sector matrix, one box from mkt RS buy, buy on pullback, R-R~3.0, 5.3% yield, Earn. 7/30
LAMR Lamar Advertising Company Media $160.05 mid 140 to mid 150 228 122 5 for 5'er, top third of Media Matrix, pos. trend, Reward-Risk > 11, current yield > 4%, Earn. 8/6
CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Banks $113.97 100s 165 90 5 for 5'er, top 10% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, bearish signal reversal, R-R>3.0, 2.9% yield
EBAY eBay Inc. Retailing $115.25 mid 100s - low 110s 161 93 5 for 5'er, top 10% of RETA sector matrix, buy on pullback, R-R~3.0, Earn.. 7/29
F Ford Motor Company Autos and Parts $13.50 14.50 - 16 27 12.50 5 for 5'er, top 20% of AUTO sector matrix, RS buy signal, spread triple top, R-R~5, 3.9% yield, Earn. 7/28
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc Leisure $333.13 low 320 - low 340 452 284 5 for 5'er since Nov. '23, top half of Leisure sector matrix, pos. trend since Nov. '23, buy since April, Earn. 7/28
MFC Manulife Financial Corporation Insurance $41.09 37 - 42 63 32 5 for 5'er since 1/26, top quintile of Insurance matrix, 3rd buy and ATH on 6/16, Earn. 8/5
AVBP ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Biomedics/Genetics $33.38 low 30s 55 25 5 for 5'er, top third of Biotech matrix, pos. L-T Peer and Mkt RS, pos. trend.
AFL AFLAC Incorporated Insurance $121.44 hi 110s - low 120s 136 104 4 for 5'er, top half of INSU sector matrix, LT pos mkt & peer RS, spread triple top, 2.1% yield, Earn. 8/6
BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev NV (Belgium) ADR Food Beverages/Soap $79.13 low to mid 80s 109 67 4 for 5'er, top decile of Food/Bev. matrix, pos. trend since Apr. '25, one box from Mkt RS buy, Earnings on 7/30.
AAP Advance Auto Parts, Inc. Autos and Parts $55.09 low-to-mid 60s 80 54 5 for 5'er, top 20% of AUTO sector matrix, spread quad top, R-R~2.0, 1.8% yield
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. Aerospace Airline $271.58 $260s - hi $270s 324 220 5 for 5'er and pos. trend since Aug. '22, L-T pos. peer and mkt RS, buy signal since April, R-R > 4.
RL Ralph Lauren Textiles/Apparel $380.36 380s - 390s 540 336 5 for 5'er, top third of TEXT sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS, spread quad top, R-R>2.0, Earn. 8/6
VIK Viking Holdings Ltd Leisure $97.97 hi 90s to 100 118 87 4 for 5'er, top 20% of Leisure matrix, buy on pullback, R-R > 3.
DCO Ducommun Inc Aerospace Airline $172.64 160s - 170s 206 144 5 for 5'er, top 25% of AERO sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS, buy on pullback, Earn. 8/6
DELL Dell Technologies Inc Class C Computers $431.97 400 - 450 580 364 4 for 5'er, num. 1 stock in Comp. matrix, pos. trend since 2/26, within one box of ATH.

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes

Follow-Up Comments

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NDW Spotlight Stock

 

DELL Dell Technologies Inc Class C ($451.77) - Computers - DELL has been at least a 4 for 5’er in technical attribute rating since March 2026 and currently ranks in the number 1 spot of the Computers sector matrix. Along with superior near- and long-term peer relative strength, DELL has maintained a long-term RS buy signal against the market since October 2025. On the trend chart, DELL has traded in a positive trend since February and returned to a buy signal by completing a bullish triangle during Wednesday’s (7/8) trading before rallying to within one box of the all-time chart high intraday Thursday (7/9). Okay to consider DELL in the $400 to $450 range. The bullish price objective of $580 will serve as the price target, giving the stock a reward to risk ratio greater than 3. The initial stop loss will be set for $364.

 
464.00                       X                                 464.00
456.00                       X O                               456.00
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440.00                       X O         X   X           X     440.00
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216.00           X O 5                                         216.00
212.00           X O X                                         212.00
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176.00 O X                                                   176.00
174.00 O X                                                   174.00
172.00 O X                                                   172.00
170.00 O X                                                   170.00
168.00 O X                                                   168.00
166.00 O X                                                   166.00
164.00 O X                                                   164.00
162.00 O 4                                                   162.00
160.00 O X                                                   160.00
158.00 O X                                                   158.00
156.00 O                                                     156.00

 

Comments include: TLN

TLN Talen Energy Corp ($387.33) - Utilities/Electricity - TLN broke a double top at $384 for a second buy signal as shares rallied to $392. The stock is currently a 4 for 5'er and ranks as the top stock within the Electric Utilities sector matrix. Okay to consider here on the breakout. Note the all-time chart high at $448. Initial support lies at $360, while additional resides at $348, the bullish support line.

The option suggestions featured here are pulled from the NDW Options Ideas tool. These are just a sample of the ideas that can be found there. The Options Idea tool contains numerous additional income and speculative plays. It also offers relative strength-based screens targeting the highest (and lowest) relative strength stocks and ETFs that have recently moved counter to their longer-term trend. To access or subscribe to the Options Ideas tool, click here.


Call

Morgan Stanley (MS) Oct 16 $220 Call

Additional Data:  
Bid/Ask Spread 9.17%
Delta 58.90
Gamma 0.99
Implied Volatility 33.68%
Expiry Date 99
Earnings Date 7/15/2026

Put

CoreWeave, Inc. Class A (CRWV) Oct 16 $92.50 Put

Additional Data:  
Bid/Ask Spread 2.31%
Delta -41.15
Gamma 0.90
Implied Volatility 91.98%
Expiry Date 99
Earnings Date 8/12/2026

Income (Short Put)

J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Aug 21 $315 Short Put

Additional Data:  
Ann. Static Return 11.98%
Bid/Ask Spread 8.75%
Delta 22.41
Gamma -0.97
Implied Volatility 25.42%
Expiry Date 43
Earnings Date 7/14/2026

Most Requested Symbols