Daily Equity & Market Analysis
Published: Jul 02, 2026
This content is for informational purposes only. This should not be construed as solicitation. The general public should consult their financial advisor for additional information related to investment decisions.

Daily Summary

NDW Prospecting: Q2 Newsletter Idea

Quarter endings and beginnings are typically a good time to provide a touch point with your clients and prospects, in recognition of that, today we offer a sample newsletter to aid you with this communication.

Morning Pulse

NDW Morning Pulse - July 2, 2026

  • The market-cap-weighted S&P 500 ([SPX]) pulled back modestly over the past week but remains up roughly 9% year-to-date. Performance continues to trail the equal-weighted S&P 500 ([SPXEWI]) by more than 2 percentage points, reflecting ongoing strength in the average stock relative to the index’s largest constituents.
  • The Russell 2000 ([RUT]) has completed three consecutive buy signals and is now up approximately 21% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500 by more than 10 percentage points in 2026. This strength is also evident in our Asset Class Group Scores, where multiple small-cap groups rank above the 90th percentile, underscoring the significant improvement in small-cap leadership this year.
  • Within our DALI Sector Rankings, Health Care added 50 signals during June, advancing to third place and firmly into overweight territory. The sector’s rise has coincided with notable weakness in Energy, which saw its signal count decline by roughly 50% over the course of the month.
  • The market is currently assigning a greater than 50% probability of a rate hike at the September FOMC meeting. Meanwhile, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF ([TLT]) recently completed a double-bottom breakout above $85.75, a move that comes as Treasury yields start to trend higher entering the second half of the year.
  • This week’s featured research piece highlights our Smart Beta Quilts, which track factor performance across a variety of market segments. Within U.S. equities, Growth and Momentum have reestablished themselves as the leading factors, currently occupying the top spots in the rankings.

NDW Morning Pulse

by Anthony Garcia

Below are highlights from the NDW Morning Update Video for the morning of 07/02. Access the the video on the NDW Morning Update Video page. 


  • The market-cap-weighted S&P 500 (SPX) pulled back modestly over the past week but remains up roughly 9% year-to-date. Performance continues to trail the equal-weighted S&P 500 (SPXEWI) by more than 2 percentage points, reflecting ongoing strength in the average stock relative to the index’s largest constituents.
  • The Russell 2000 (RUT) has completed three consecutive buy signals and is now up approximately 21% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500 by more than 10 percentage points in 2026. This strength is also evident in our Asset Class Group Scores, where multiple small-cap groups rank above the 90th percentile, underscoring the significant improvement in small-cap leadership this year.
  • Within our DALI Sector Rankings, Health Care added 50 signals during June, advancing to third place and firmly into overweight territory. The sector’s rise has coincided with notable weakness in Energy, which saw its signal count decline by roughly 50% over the course of the month.
  • The market is currently assigning a greater than 50% probability of a rate hike at the September FOMC meeting. Meanwhile, the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) recently completed a double-bottom breakout above $85.75, a move that comes as Treasury yields start to trend higher entering the second half of the year.
  • This week’s featured research piece highlights our Smart Beta Quilts, which track factor performance across a variety of market segments. Within U.S. equities, Growth and Momentum have reestablished themselves as the leading factors, currently occupying the top spots in the rankings.

Quarter endings and beginnings are typically a good time to provide a touch point with your clients and prospects, so in recognition of the change of calendar, we wanted to give you a sample newsletter to aid you with this communication. You want to let your clients know that you are holding the reins of their portfolios and that you are holding on tight. This letter has not been FINRA approved; however, you are welcome to use the text as you like. Feel free to "slice and dice" the text to best incorporate it within your business.


Sample Client Newsletter: Q2 2026

PRINT ON FIRM APPROVED LETTERHEAD

INSERT DATE

The second quarter and first half of 2026 are now officially in the record books. US equities staged a blistering rally from their first quarter slump as the S&P gained nearly 15% in Q2, its best quarter since 2020. Technology stocks were among the best performers leading the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 to a gain of more than 27%. AI sentiment rebounded, helping to push the NYSE Semiconductor Index to a gain of more than 90% for the quarter.  While tech heavyweights posted strong numbers, small cap stocks generally outperformed their large cap counterparts as the Russell 2000 Index outgained the S&P 500 by more than 6% in Q2.

International equities also advanced, though there was a large gap in performance between developed and emerging markets. The MSCI EAFE Index, which comprises developed markets gained a little under 10%, while the MSCI Emerging Markets Index was up more than 20%. South Korea was a major driver of the spread between emerging and developed markets as the Korea Composite Index gained more than 65% in Q2.

While stocks were mostly higher, it was an unproductive quarter for commodities as the S&P GSCI Commodity Index fell almost 17%. Crude oil was down more than 30% for the quarter, giving back virtually all the ground it gained at the outset of the Iran conflict, which also acted as a major headwind for energy stocks. Meanwhile, precious metals continued their decline that begin in Q1 as silver was down more than 20% while gold dropped more than 13%. Silver is down roughly 15% for the year after having been up more than 60% early in the year.

Interest rates rose over the quarter as worries about energy prices and inflation fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates this year. Those concerns cooled somewhat as energy prices fell in Q2, but the market is pricing in about a 75% chance of a rate hike by the end of 2026.

International equities remain at the top of the asset class rankings in our Dynamic Asset Level Investing (DALI) tool, which provides us with a heat map of where relative strength (and weakness) resides across and within asset classes. Domestic equities remain in second place, but we saw significant movement among US sectors last quarter. After falling to fourth place in the first quarter, technology has reclaimed the number one spot in the sector rankings as the sector led the rally by US stocks. Meanwhile, energy, which began the second quarter in first place has fallen to seventh as worries about a prolonged conflict with Iran have eased.

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Please be aware that the content of this newsletter is based on the opinion of Dorsey, Wright research and may differ from the research provided by your financial advisor. This market theme letter was written by Dorsey, Wright & Associates and is provided courtesy of your advisor.

The performance numbers in this article do not reflect dividends or transaction costs.  Indexes are not available for direct investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results and there is no assurance that any forecasts mentioned in this report will be attained.

Stocks offer growth potential but are subject to market fluctuations. Dividends are not guaranteed; companies can reduce or eliminate their dividend at any time. There are special risks associated with an investment in real estate, including credit risk, interest rate fluctuations and the impact of varied economic conditions.

The information contained herein has been prepared without regard to any particular investor’s investment objectives, financial situation, and needs.  Accordingly, investors should not act on any recommendation (express or implied) or information in this material without obtaining specific advice from their financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the primary basis for their investment decisions.  Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized statistical services, issuer reports or communications, or other sources believed to be reliable (“information providers”).  However, such information has not been verified by Dorsey, Wright & Associates, LLC (DWA) or the information provider and DWA and the information providers make no representations or warranties or take any responsibility as to the accuracy or completeness of any recommendation or information contained herein.  DWA and the information provider accept no liability to the recipient whatsoever whether in contract, in tort, for negligence, or otherwise for any direct, indirect, consequential, or special loss of any kind arising out of the use of this document or its contents or of the recipient relying on any such recommendation or information (except insofar as any statutory liability cannot be excluded).  Any statements nonfactual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change without notice.  Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or an offer to buy any securities, commodities or exchange traded products.  This document does not purport to be complete description of the securities or commodities, markets or developments to which reference is made.

Potential for profits is accompanied by possibility of loss.

The material has been prepared or is distributed solely for information purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy

Market Distribution Table The Distribution Report below places Major Market ETFs and Indices into a bell curve style table based upon their current location on their 10-week trading band.

The middle of the bell curve represents areas of the market that are "normally" distributed, with the far right being 100% overbought on a weekly distribution and the far left being 100% oversold on a weekly distribution.

The weekly distribution ranges are calculated at the end of each week, while the placement within that range will fluctuate during the week. In addition to information regarding the statistical distribution of these market indexes, a symbol that is in UPPER CASE indicates that the RS chart is on a Buy Signal. If the symbol is dark Green then the stock is on a Point & Figure buy signal, and if the symbol is bright Red then it is on a Point & Figure sell signal.

 

Average Level

-4.91

< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >
                       
         
Buy signalief
           
         
Buy signalagg
           
 
Sell signalgsg
     
Sell signallqd
 
Buy signalSPY
       
 
Sell signaluso
     
Sell signaltlt
Buy signalicf
Buy signalVOOV
Buy signalIJH
Buy signaldia
   
 
Sell signalfxe
   
Buy signalhyg
Buy signalefa
Buy signalONEQ
Buy signalQQQ
Buy signaliwm
Buy signalijr
   
Buy signalgcc
Sell signalgld
 
Sell signalshy
Buy signalXLG
Buy signalEEM
Buy signalVOOG
Buy signaldvy
Buy signalrsp
Buy signaldx/y
   
< - -100 -100 - -80 -80 - -60 -60 - -40 -40 - -20 -20 - 0 0 - 20 20 - 40 40 - 60 60 - 80 80 - 100 100 - >

 

AGG iShares US Core Bond ETF
USO United States Oil Fund
DIA SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
DVY iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF
DX/Y NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust
GLD SPDR Gold Trust
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust
HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
ICF iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF
IEF iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF
LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF
IJH iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund
ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track
QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust
RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
IWM iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF
SHY iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF
IJR iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund
SPY SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust
TLT iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
GCC WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund
VOOG Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
VOOV Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
XLG Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF
   

 

Long Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
GRMN Garmin Ltd. Leisure $237.64 mid 230s - mid 260s 364 196 5 TA rating, LT pos trend and mkt RS buy, top 33% of LEIS sector matrix, buy-on-pullback, Earn. 7/29
IBOC International Bancshares Corporation Banks $77.02 low-to-mid 70s 93 63 4 for 5'er, favored BANK sector, LT pos peer & mkt RS, bearish signal reversal, R-R~2.0, 1.95% yield
LYV Live Nation Entertainment Inc. Leisure $183.98 low 160s to mid 170s 202 142 4 for 5'er; Pos. Trend; Top Half of Leisure Matrix; Within one box of ATH.
MO Altria Group Inc. Food Beverages/Soap $71.54 low-to-mid 70s 91 62 4 for 5'er, top quartile of FOOD sector matrix, one box from RS buy, bullish triangle, 5.9% yield, Earn. 7/30
CTRE CareTrust REIT Inc Real Estate $40.90 $38 - $43 62.50 34 5/5'er since Apr. '25, top quintile of Real Estate Matrix, pos. trend and buy signal since Jul. '23.
BTI British American Tobacco Sp-Adr (United Kingdom) ADR Food Beverages/Soap $60.56 hi 50s - low 60s 92 51 4 for 5'er, top 25% of FOOD sector matrix, one box from mkt RS buy, buy on pullback, R-R~3.0, 5.3% yield, Earn. 7/30
LAMR Lamar Advertising Company Media $156.64 mid 140 to mid 150 228 122 5 for 5'er, top third of Media Matrix, pos. trend, Reward-Risk > 11, current yield > 4%.
CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Banks $116.07 100s 165 90 5 for 5'er, top 10% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, bearish signal reversal, R-R>3.0, 2.9% yield
JCI Johnson Controls International PLC Building $144.80 upper 130s to lower 150s 182 124 4 for 5'er since Apr. '25, top 25% of Building sector matrix, pos. trend, ATH on 6/3, Earn. 7/28
EBAY eBay Inc. Retailing $111.28 mid 100s - low 110s 161 93 5 for 5'er, top 10% of RETA sector matrix, buy on pullback, R-R~3.0, Earn.. 7/29
F Ford Motor Company Autos and Parts $13.64 14.50 - 16 27 12.50 5 for 5'er, top 20% of AUTO sector matrix, RS buy signal, spread triple top, R-R~5, 3.9% yield, Earn. 7/29
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc Leisure $332.12 low 320 - low 340 452 284 5 for 5'er since Nov. '23, top half of Leisure sector matrix, pos. trend since Nov. '23, buy since April, Earn. 7/28
MFC Manulife Financial Corporation Insurance $40.72 37 - 42 63 32 5 for 5'er since 1/26, top quintile of Insurance matrix, 3rd buy and ATH on 6/16.
AVBP ArriVent BioPharma, Inc. Biomedics/Genetics $34.50 low 30s 55 25 5 for 5'er, top third of Biotech matrix, pos. L-T Peer and Mkt RS, pos. trend.
AFL AFLAC Incorporated Insurance $118.49 hi 110s - low 120s 136 104 4 for 5'er, top half of INSU sector matrix, LT pos mkt & peer RS, spread triple top, 2.1% yield
BUD Anheuser-Busch InBev NV (Belgium) ADR Food Beverages/Soap $80.25 low to mid 80s 109 67 4 for 5'er, top decile of Food/Bev. matrix, pos. trend since Apr. '25, one box from Mkt RS buy, Earnings on 7/30.
AAP Advance Auto Parts, Inc. Autos and Parts $63.02 low-to-mid 60s 80 54 5 for 5'er, top 20% of AUTO sector matrix, spread quad top, R-R~2.0, 1.8% yield
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. Aerospace Airline $267.41 $260s - hi $270s 324 220 5 for 5'er and pos. trend since Aug. '22, L-T pos. peer and mkt RS, buy signal since April, R-R > 4.

Short Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes

Removed Ideas

Symbol Company Sector Current Price Action Price Target Stop Notes
CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc Banks $71.82 low to hi 60s 87 54 Rallied to ATHs and overbought territory on 7/1. Raise stop to $59.
ESI Element Solutions Inc. Chemicals $45.74 low to mid 40s 66 38 Sell signal on 7/2. Maintain $38 stop.

Follow-Up Comments

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NDW Spotlight Stock

 

HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. ($269.05) - Aerospace Airline - HWM has been a 5 for 5’er in technical attribute rating since August 2022. The stock has maintained positive long-term peer relative strength since June 2019 and positive long-term market relative strength since June 2022. On the trend chart, HWM has traded within a positive trend since August 2022 and maintained a buy signal since April of this year. Trading in mid-June of this year brought about a third buy signal at $284 as shares rallied to a new chart high at $288. After pullback to the middle of the 10-week trading band at $260, the chart shifted back to Xs and kicked off July by moving above $276. Okay to consider here on the breakout or on a pullback to the $260 range. The bullish price objective of $324 will serve as the price target, while the initial stop loss will be set for $220.

 
                    26                                      
288.00                                               X         288.00
284.00                                               X O       284.00
280.00                                           X   X O       280.00
276.00                                           X O X O       276.00
272.00                                           X O X O X     272.00
268.00                                           X O X O X     268.00
264.00                       3                   X O X O X     264.00
260.00                       X O                 X O X O     Mid 260.00
256.00                       X O X       X       X O X         256.00
252.00                       X O X O     X O     X O X         252.00
248.00                       X O X O     X O X   5 6 X         248.00
244.00                       X O   O     X O X O X O           244.00
240.00                       X     O X   X O X O X             240.00
236.00                       X     O X O 4 O   O               236.00
232.00                       X     O X O X                     232.00
228.00                       X     O   O X                     228.00
224.00                   X   X         O                       224.00
220.00                   X O 2                                 220.00
216.00                   1 O X                                 216.00
212.00                   X O X                                 212.00
208.00       X           X O                                 Bot 208.00
204.00       X O X       X                                     204.00
200.00   X   X O X O X   X                                     200.00
198.00   X O X B X O X O X                                     198.00
196.00   X O X O X C X O X                                     196.00
194.00 O X O X O   O X O X                                     194.00
192.00 O X O       O X O                                       192.00
190.00 O X         O                                           190.00
188.00 O                                                       188.00
                    26                                      

 

 

AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. ($603.33) - Semiconductors - Shares of AMAT declined sharply on Thursday, breaking a double bottom at $616 to move to a sell signal. That said, the 5 for 5'er continues to trades in a positive trend, with it remaining a high relative strength name. The stock was previous in heavily overbought territory, so recent movement could serve as a healthy exhale for the stock. Those with positions should continue to hold, but should prepare for further volatility. From here, initial support lies at $576.
APD Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. ($311.68) - Chemicals - APD returned to a buy signal and a positive trend Thursday when it broke a spread quadruple top at $308. The positive trend change will promote APD to an acceptable 3 for 5'er. From here, the next level of over head resistance sits at $320. Meanwhile, support can be found at $288.
GE GE Aerospace ($375.75) - Aerospace Airline - GE's first buy signal of July was a buy signal, its 5th consecutive on its default chart. The strong 5/5'er is up just over 21% so far this year, and while a bad overbought should be kept on a short list of options to add to. Support is offered at $364.
LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. ($244.24) - Oil Service - After giving five consecutive sell signals LNG returned to a buy signal Thursday when it broke a double top at $248, where it now sits against resistance. The outlook for LNG remains negative, however, as the stock is a 2 for 5'er that ranks in the bottom half of the oil service sector matrix. From here, the support sits at $224.
NAVN Navan, Inc. Class A ($25.52) - Leisure - NAVN broke a double top at $25 to return to a buy signal and mark a new all-time chart high. The stock has been a 5 for 5'er since May 2026 and currertly ranks within the top quartile of the Leisure sector matrix. Okay to consider here on the breakout or on a pullback to the lower $20s. Initial support lies at $18.50, while additional can be found in the $17 range.

The option suggestions featured here are pulled from the NDW Options Ideas tool. These are just a sample of the ideas that can be found there. The Options Idea tool contains numerous additional income and speculative plays. It also offers relative strength-based screens targeting the highest (and lowest) relative strength stocks and ETFs that have recently moved counter to their longer-term trend. To access or subscribe to the Options Ideas tool, click here.


Call

J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) September 18 $330 Call

Additional Data:  
Bid/Ask Spread 10.88%
Delta 59.77
Gamma 1.07
Implied Volatility 24.07%
Expiry Date 77
Earnings Date 7/14/2026

Put

Atlassian Corp. PlC (TEAM) September 18 $85 Put

Additional Data:  
Bid/Ask Spread 9.91%
Delta -43.91
Gamma 1.38
Implied Volatility 75.90%
Expiry Date 77
Earnings Date 8/06/2026

Income (Short Put) 

DoorDash, Inc. Class A (DASH) July 31 $175 Short Put

Additional Data:  
Ann. Static Return 33.29%
Bid/Ask Spread 32.35%
Delta 22.99
Gamma -1.10
Implied Volatility 50.78%
Expiry Date 29
Earnings Date 8/10/2026

 

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