Daily Summary
Value's Recent Value to Equities
The word ‘value’ has multiple meanings as a noun and verb. When the average person thinks of ‘value’ as it relates to price, they generally associate it with receiving a cheaper or discounted price on something that may be worth more on the open market or to another party.
Market Distribution Table
The curve has an average reading of 7.06%
Morning Pulse
NDW Morning Pulse - August 7, 2026
- Major indices moved lower over the past day, led by emerging markets. [EEM] posted the largest decline, falling 1.07%, followed by the Dow Jones Industrial Average ([.DJIA]), which lost 0.85%. Crude oil ([CL]) was the lone bright spot, gaining 2.75% on the day. Despite the near-term rebound, oil prices remain well below their recent highs, underscoring the broader downtrend in the commodity.
- Technology rebounded after three consecutive sell signals. The Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF ([XLK]) gained 5.46% over the past week and completed a bullish signal reversal at $182, reflecting renewed strength in the sector.
- The S&P 500 continues to show broad market strength. The index completed a triple-top breakout at 7,600 and is now up more than 12% year-to-date. S&P 500 Index Funds also remain ranked second on the asset class group scores page, reinforcing the group's strong relative performance.
- Healthcare showed notable improvement over the past week. The sector gained three signals in our DALI sector rankings, highlighting renewed momentum in traditionally defensive areas of the market. Within the asset class group scores, biotechnology ranks first with an average score of 4.91.
- Cooling labor market data reduced expectations for additional Fed tightening. Following the July employment report, which showed nonfarm payrolls declined by 23,000, the probability of a rate hike in September fell from above 55% to 40%, reflecting growing expectations for a more accommodative policy outlook.
Beginners Series Webinar: Join us on Monday, August 10th at 2 PM (ET) for our NDW Beginners Series Webinar. This week's topic is: Fund Score Composition and the Asset Class Group Scores Page. Register Here.
Below are highlights from the NDW Morning Update Video for the morning of 08/07. Access the the video on the NDW Morning Update Video page.
- Major indices moved lower over the past day, led by emerging markets. EEM posted the largest decline, falling 1.07%, followed by the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJIA), which lost 0.85%. Crude oil (CL) was the lone bright spot, gaining 2.75% on the day. Despite the near-term rebound, oil prices remain well below their recent highs, underscoring the broader downtrend in the commodity.
- Technology rebounded after three consecutive sell signals. The Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) gained 5.46% over the past week and completed a bullish signal reversal at $182, reflecting renewed strength in the sector.
- The S&P 500 continues to show broad market strength. The index completed a triple-top breakout at 7,600 and is now up more than 12% year-to-date. S&P 500 Index Funds also remain ranked second on the asset class group scores page, reinforcing the group's strong relative performance.
- Healthcare showed notable improvement over the past week. The sector gained three signals in our DALI sector rankings, highlighting renewed momentum in traditionally defensive areas of the market. Within the asset class group scores, biotechnology ranks first with an average score of 4.91.
- Cooling labor market data reduced expectations for additional Fed tightening. Following the July employment report, which showed nonfarm payrolls declined by 23,000, the probability of a rate hike in September fell from above 55% to 40%, reflecting growing expectations for a more accommodative policy outlook.
The word ‘value’ has multiple meanings as a noun and verb. When the average person thinks of ‘value’ as it relates to price, they generally associate it with receiving a cheaper or discounted price on something that may be worth more on the open market or to another party. Related to finance and investments, many will initially think of Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffet buying stocks or companies priced below their intrinsic value to capitalize on the market’s mispricing. Others may think of risk-off sectors like financials, industrials, energy, materials, utilities, and consumer staples when pondering potential allocation to value stocks within a portfolio. When potentially buying a value related ETF – like the Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) – an investor may be thinking they’re buying a basket of stocks from the aforementioned sectors or those that ole’ Uncle Warren may hold in his portfolio. But a look under the hood of holdings in VTV – as well as other value funds – may lead to surprising discoveries.
Below is a size/style breakdown and sector breakdown of the 300+ holdings within VTV (as of 6/30). Additionally, the table to the right shows the top and bottom 10 stocks attributing to the performance of the fund on a year-to-date basis (through 8/5). Upon examining, readers may be scratching their heads, thinking we got the holdings of VTV mixed up with the fund’s growth counterpart, the Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG). But nope, it’s right. As of VTV’s most recent portfolio evaluation at the end of Q2, the size and style allocation is overweight stocks that are classified as large cap blend and roughly a fifth of the portfolio in classic growth names. While the portfolio is overweight in risk-off sectors like financials, industrials, and healthcare, risk-on sectors like technology and consumer discretionary maintain notable allocations.

Looking at the performance attribution for VTV on a year-to-date basis through 8/5 reveals that many of the largest contributors to the ETF’s upside performance have come from technology. Micron (MU), Intel (INTC), and Cisco Systems (CSCO) are current holdings with significant allocations that have provided recent fodder for the fund. No one could blame even the most seasoned advisor for being a little surprised by some of the aforementioned stocks and their inclusion within a value-oriented fund. So how does a company like AI-darling Micron (MU), a stock that is up 200% year-to-date, end up in a value ETF?
First, understanding the metrics often looked at by value-related funds, like VTV, helps lead us down the path for understanding how a stock like Micron gets into the fund. Many fund and index providers will evaluate stocks for value funds on price-to-earnings (forward and historic), price-to-book, and price-to-sales; looking to stocks that maintain lower ratios as signaling potential future stock appreciation in step with growth in fundamentals of the company. While potentially surprising, Micron maintains lower, single digit price-to-earnings (current and forward), price-to-book, and price-to-sales metrics than the likes of Nvidia (NVDA) and Apple (AAPL).
Though Micron was singled out due to its performance and outsized weighting within VTV, there are other examples of stocks that may be initially perceived as a growth stocks. Even within the year-to-date performance contribution table shown above, Applied Materials (AMAT) and Western Digital (WDC) were holdings and notable contributors within VTV up until this quarter when they were removed for no longer meeting the criteria evaluated. Other tech-related names like Intel (INTC), Cisco (CSCO), and Dell (DELL) have provided additional fodder.

The uptick within technology stocks this week may have led to the thought that growth may quickly overtake value. But as we’ve discussed, the technology rally has also benefited value as well. Recent relative strength within healthcare and financials have also helped value sustain against growth. Below is the relative strength chart of the Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) against the Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) on a 3.25% RS chart. The long-term relationship still favors growth, but value has been favored more often in the near-term during 2026 and is still currently favored over growth with the RS chart residing in a column of Os since late June.
Given the discussion around how funds and index providers may define value, the allocation currently seen within VTV, and value’s positive near-term relative strength over growth, portfolios will still have either an overweight toward value or potentially a more equal mix of value and growth. Additionally, being cognizant of what individual stocks may already be sizeable holdings within a portfolio, or in a value fund being considered, will be important. Should users be looking to examine the holdings of a particular fund (both ETFs and mutual funds) more, the ETF (or Fund) Details and Holdings links above the point and figure chart of the fund are helpful in evaluation.

Featured Charts:

Portfolio View - Major Market ETFs
| Symbol | Name | Price | Yield | PnF Trend | RS Signal | RS Col. | Fund Score | 200 Day MA | Weekly Mom |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIA | State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust | 538.19 | 1.37 | Positive | Sell | X | 4.49 | 492.14 | - 4W |
| EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | 65.02 | 1.94 | Positive | Buy | O | 3.67 | 60.52 | - 10W |
| EFA | iShares MSCI EAFE ETF | 107.36 | 3.08 | Positive | Sell | X | 4.13 | 100.21 | + 2W |
| IJH | iShares S&P MidCap 400 Index Fund | 76.75 | 1.18 | Positive | Buy | O | 4.41 | 70.49 | - 6W |
| IJR | iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Index Fund | 147.82 | 1.13 | Positive | Sell | X | 4.51 | 130.87 | - 4W |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ Trust | 714.65 | 0.46 | Positive | Buy | O | 4.34 | 647.30 | - 10W |
| RSP | Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF | 218.58 | 1.49 | Positive | Sell | O | 3.43 | 200.26 | - 4W |
| SPY | State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust | 768.56 | 1.01 | Positive | Buy | X | 5.14 | 702.46 | + 1W |
| XLG | Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF | 62.95 | 0.67 | Positive | Sell | O | 3.06 | 59.46 | + 2W |
Average Level
7.06
| < - -100 | -100 - -80 | -80 - -60 | -60 - -40 | -40 - -20 | -20 - 0 | 0 - 20 | 20 - 40 | 40 - 60 | 60 - 80 | 80 - 100 | 100 - > |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| < - -100 | -100 - -80 | -80 - -60 | -60 - -40 | -40 - -20 | -20 - 0 | 0 - 20 | 20 - 40 | 40 - 60 | 60 - 80 | 80 - 100 | 100 - > |
| AGG | iShares US Core Bond ETF |
| USO | United States Oil Fund |
| DIA | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF |
| DVY | iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index ETF |
| DX/Y | NYCE U.S.Dollar Index Spot |
| EFA | iShares MSCI EAFE ETF |
| FXE | Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Trust |
| GSG | iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust |
| HYG | iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF |
| ICF | iShares Cohen & Steers Realty ETF |
| IEF | iShares Barclays 7-10 Yr. Tres. Bond ETF |
| LQD | iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corp. Bond ETF |
| IJH | iShares S&P 400 MidCap Index Fund |
| ONEQ | Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index Track |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ Trust |
| RSP | Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF |
| IWM | iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF |
| SHY | iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Tres. Bond ETF |
| IJR | iShares S&P 600 SmallCap Index Fund |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 Index ETF Trust |
| TLT | iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF |
| GCC | WisdomTree Continuous Commodity Index Fund |
| VOOG | Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF |
| VOOV | Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF |
| EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF |
| XLG | Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF |
Long Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CM | Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | Banks | $118.44 | 100s | 165 | 90 | 5 for 5'er, top 10% of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, bearish signal reversal, R-R>3.0, 2.9% yield, Earn. 8/27 |
| HEI | Heico Corporation | Aerospace Airline | $363.29 | 330s - 350s | 480 | 284 | 4 for 5'er, top third of AERO sector matrix, LT pos mkt RS, bullish triangle, buy on pullback, good R-R, Earn. 8/25 |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree, Inc. | Retailing | $129.68 | hi 110s - 120s | 186 | 104 | 4 for 5'er, top half RETA sector matrix, spread quad top, buy on pullback R-R>2.5, Earn. 8/27 |
| VSXY | Victoria's Secret & Company | Retailing | $93.52 | 81 - 87 | 109 | 71 | 5 for 5'er, 3rd in Retailing matrix, pos. trend, 2nd buy on 7/20, ATH on 7/21, Earn. 8/26 |
| ZION | Zions Bancorporation | Banks | $70.58 | mid-to-hi 60s | 87 | 55 | 4 for 5'er, top half of favored BANK sector matrix, new RS buy signal, buy on pullback, R-R~2.0, 2.5% yield |
| FR | First Industrial Realty Trust | Real Estate | $63.39 | mid-to-hi 60s | 86 | 59 | 4 for 5'er, top 25% of REAL sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, spread sextuple top, R-R>2.0, 2.9% yield |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | Insurance | $354.03 | mid 340s - mid 360s | 456 | 308 | 4 for 5'er, pos. trend since 2023, LT Mkt RS buy since May '24, Reward to Risk > 4. |
| BFH | Bread Financial Holdings Inc. | Business Products | $109.95 | 100 - 110 | 129 | 89 | 5 for 5'er, top 20% of favored BUSI sector matrix, LT pos peer & mkt RS |
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | Banks | $56.96 | mid to upper 50s | 84 | 46 | 4 for 5'er since March '24, pos. LT Peer RS since March '09, LT pos. trend since Dec. '23. |
| HIG | Hartford Insurance Group Inc/The | Insurance | $144.51 | hi 130s - 140s | 164 | 126 | 5 for 5'er, LT pos peer & mkt RS, bullish catapult, good R-R, 1.65% yield |
| NIC | Nicolet Bankshares Inc | Banks | $173.89 | mid 160s - mid 170s | 196 | 148 | 5 for 5'er, top third of favored BANK sector matrix, LT pos peer RS, shakeout to triple top |
| AER | AerCap Holdings NV | Aerospace Airline | $155.24 | hi 140s - mid 150s | 184 | 130 | 5 for 5'er, Rev. in Xs on Peer RS 7/29, LT pos. Peer and Mkt RS, Pos. trend since Apr. '25. |
| BNY | Bank of New York Mellon Corporation | Banks | $158.82 | low 150s to 160 | 192 | 130 | 5 for 5'er since Sept. '24, top 10% of Banks matrix, LT peer and mkt RS, Pos. trend since Nov. '23. |
| GD | General Dynamics Corporation | Aerospace Airline | $386.92 | 380s - low 390s | 424 | 340 | 4 for 5'er, Pos. ST Peer RS, Pos. LT & ST Mkt RS, Pos. trend and buy signal since June, ATH 7/29. |
| MRK | Merck & Co., Inc. | Drugs | $128.37 | 122 - mid 130s | 168 | 106 | 5 TA rating, top half of drugs sector RS matrix, recent bullish triangle, buy-on-pullback |
Short Ideas
| Symbol | Company | Sector | Current Price | Action Price | Target | Stop | Notes |
|---|
NDW Spotlight Stock
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. ($128.35) R - Drugs - MRK has a 5 for 5 TA rating and sits in the top half of the drugs sector RS matrix. This stock moved to an RS buy signal against the market in February and recently completed a bullish triangle at the end of July, adding to the positive weight of the technical evidence. The recent price action led MRK to retract from a 52-week high to the current position just above the middle of its trading band, offering a more opportune entry point for long investors. Exposure can be considered on this pullback from $122 to the mid-$130s. Our initial stop will be positioned at $106, which would take out all support built up this year. The bullish price objective of $168 will serve as our price target, offering a reward-to-risk north of 2 to 1.
| 26 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 134.00 | X | 134.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 132.00 | X | O | 132.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 130.00 | X | X | O | 130.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 128.00 | X | O | X | O | 128.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 126.00 | X | O | X | 126.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 124.00 | X | X | X | 7 | X | Mid | 124.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 122.00 | X | O | 4 | O | X | X | X | O | 122.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 120.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 120.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 118.00 | X | 3 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | 118.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 116.00 | X | O | X | O | X | 6 | O | X | 116.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 114.00 | 2 | O | O | 5 | O | X | 114.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 112.00 | X | O | X | O | 112.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 110.00 | X | O | X | 110.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 108.00 | 1 | O | 108.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 106.00 | X | 106.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 104.00 | X | X | 104.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 102.00 | X | O | X | Bot | 102.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 100.00 | X | O | X | X | 100.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 99.00 | X | C | X | O | X | • | 99.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 98.00 | X | O | X | O | X | • | 98.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 97.00 | X | X | O | O | • | 97.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 96.00 | X | O | X | • | 96.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 95.00 | X | O | X | • | 95.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 94.00 | X | O | • | 94.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 93.00 | X | • | 93.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 92.00 | X | • | 92.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 91.00 | X | X | • | 91.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 90.00 | X | O | X | • | 90.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 89.00 | X | O | X | • | 89.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 88.00 | X | O | X | X | • | 88.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 87.00 | X | X | O | X | O | X | • | 87.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 86.00 | X | O | X | O | X | O | X | • | 86.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 85.00 | X | O | A | O | X | O | X | • | 85.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 84.00 | • | X | O | X | O | O | X | • | 84.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 83.00 | X | • | X | O | X | B | • | 83.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 82.00 | X | O | X | 9 | X | • | 82.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 81.00 | X | O | 8 | O | X | • | 81.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 80.00 | X | O | X | O | X | • | 80.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 79.00 | X | O | X | O | X | • | 79.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 78.00 | X | O | • | O | • | 78.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 26 |
| ABNB Airbnb, Inc. Class A ($175.24) - Leisure - ABNB broke a double top at $158 to complete a bulllish catapult as shares rallied to $176, marking the highest chart level since early 2022. The breakout follows a positive trend reversal to end July and will cause the market RS chart ot reverse into Xs, increasing the stock to a 3 for 5'er in technical attribute rating. This action places the stock within overbought territory, so those seeking exposure are best to look for price consolidation and a normalization of the 10-week trading band before considering. Prior resistance in the $160s may be seen as initial support, while additional can be found at $150. |
| ADBE Adobe Systems Incorporated ($265.22) - Software - Shares of ADBE pushed higher on Friday, moving to its second consecutive buy signal. The stock moved into a positive trend and regained some near-term relative strength, bringing it into hold territory as a for 5'er. That said, ADBE still lacks long-term relative strength, so watch for sustained improvement before adding. Resistance lies closely ahead at $272 and $284. |
| SNOW Snowflake, Inc. Class A ($327.25) - Software - Shares of SNOW have rallied significantly over the last several weeks, with it moving to its second consecutive buy signal. The now 5 for 5'er regained market relative strength, taking it back into strong buy territory. That said, the stock is in overbought territory, so investors on the sideline should wait for pullback or consolidation before adding. Initial support lies at $308 and $256. |
| SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A ($131.35) - Aerospace Airline - SPCX pushed higher today, rallying roughly 15% to break a double top at $128 for its second consecutive buy signal this week. Despite this near-term strength, SPCX is a 0 for 5'er that remains in a long-term negative trend with weak relative strength against the market. Still, the recent action shows demand starting to reassert itself, and the stock looks poised to reverse into a column of Xs on its RS charts against both the market and its peers, a move that would recapture a TA attribute and lift it to a 2 for 5'er. The weight of the technical evidence is weak here but showing early signs of improvement. Traders should wait for that relative strength confirmation and a positive trend flip before committing long exposure. Support can be seen at $106. |
The option suggestions featured here are pulled from the NDW Options Ideas tool. These are just a sample of the ideas that can be found there. The Options Idea tool contains numerous additional income and speculative plays. It also offers relative strength-based screens targeting the highest (and lowest) relative strength stocks and ETFs that have recently moved counter to their longer-term trend. To access or subscribe to the Options Ideas tool, click here.
Call
Morgan Stanley (MS) Nov 20 $210 Call

| Additional Data: | |
| Bid/Ask Spread | 10.86% |
| Delta | 62.11 |
| Gamma | 1.05 |
| Implied Volatility | 32.65% |
| Expiry Date | 105 |
| Earnings Date | 10/14/2026 |
Put
Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) Nov 20 $155 Put

| Additional Data: | |
| Bid/Ask Spread | 9.74% |
| Delta | -43.82 |
| Gamma | 0.78 |
| Implied Volatility | 63.39% |
| Expiry Date | 105 |
| Earnings Date | 10/30/2026 |
Income (Covered Call)
Valero Energy Corp (VLO) Sep 04 $325 Covered Call

| Additional Data: | |
| Ann. Static Return | 21.20% |
| Bid/Ask Spread | 37.50% |
| Delta | 75.62 |
| Gamma | -0.90 |
| Implied Volatility | 41.45% |
| Expiry Date | 28 |
| Earnings Date | 10/22/2026 |