Below are highlights from the NDW Morning Update Video for the morning of 10/16. Access the video on the NDW Morning Update Video page.
Markets were mostly higher on Thursdays, with the S&P 500 rising around a third of a percent. Meanwhile, breadth was strongly positive on the day, with the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (SPXEWI) rising 1.36%.
Crude oil continues to push higher, rising another 3% on the day. On the more consistent two-point chart, the commodity moved back to a buy signal for the first time since the start of September. Crude is now up around 44% from its lowest level in July.
Due in part to the rebound in crude and other commodities, the energy major sector SPDR fund was able to regain long-term market strength this week, moving to an RS buy signal against SPXEWI for the first time since March of 2025. XLE also completed a second consecutive buy signal on its trend chart, with it currently holding a near-perfect fund score of 5.91.
Small caps have taken a hit over the last several weeks, especially relative to large cap areas of the market. The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) lost near-term market relative strength earlier this week, reversing into a column of Os against SPXEWI. IWM also has a sub-3.0 fund score of 2.28, which is its lowest level since August of last year.
Tesla (TSLA) unveiled their Tesla Roadster 2.0 during an event on Wednesday evening, during which they showed a version of the car that was able to flip in the air fully on its own. Investor reaction was positive, with TSLA shares up around 3% during overnight trading. That said, it remains more of hold than anything as a 3 for 5’er, with it currently right above its bullish support line.